Sigma Olomouc U19 vs MFK Karvina U19

12 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Sigma Olomouc U19

MFK Karvina U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.2% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 22.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.5% 1.73 DRAW 22.1% 4.25 AWAY 23.4% 4.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sigma Olomouc U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.2% win probability, compared with 54.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sigma Olomouc U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sigma Olomouc U19 MFK Karvina U19

Shots 13.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Sigma Olomouc U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sigma Olomouc U19 MFK Karvina U19

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 7.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sigma Olomouc U19 MFK Karvina U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Sigma Olomouc U19 = (0.0%)

MFK Karvina U19 ↑ +0.72 (+21.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.