FK Chlumec N.C vs Turnov

06 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

FK Chlumec N.C

Turnov

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 34.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.30 DRAW 23.2% 4.00 AWAY 36.4% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Chlumec N.C relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.2% win probability, compared with 40.4% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Chlumec N.C has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Chlumec N.C Turnov

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Chlumec N.C Turnov

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Chlumec N.C Turnov

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Chlumec N.C ↓ -0.10 (-4.2%)

Turnov ↑ +0.30 (+13.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.