TJ Svitavy vs SK Sparta Kolin

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

TJ Svitavy

SK Sparta Kolin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 40.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.1% 2.79 DRAW 23.7% 4.00 AWAY 42.2% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for TJ Svitavy relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.8% win probability, compared with 34.1% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

TJ Svitavy has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

TJ Svitavy SK Sparta Kolin

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours TJ Svitavy, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TJ Svitavy SK Sparta Kolin

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TJ Svitavy SK Sparta Kolin

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

TJ Svitavy ↑ +0.19 (+7.1%)

SK Sparta Kolin ↑ +0.15 (+7.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.