SK Steti vs Chomutov

05 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

SK Steti

Chomutov

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.8% DRAW 20.3% AWAY 63.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.5% 5.17 DRAW 21.6% 4.20 AWAY 60.9% 1.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Chomutov relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.8% win probability, compared with 60.9% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chomutov

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SK Steti Chomutov

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 14.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Chomutov, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SK Steti Chomutov

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Chomutov has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SK Steti Chomutov

The combined recent performance profile favours Chomutov.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

SK Steti ↓ -0.33 (-6.0%)

Chomutov ↑ +0.09 (+6.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.