SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs Sokol Hostoun

12 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.7 pp

SK Ujezd Praha 4

Sokol Hostoun

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.8% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 52.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% 3.02 DRAW 22.8% 4.10 AWAY 46.2% 2.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sokol Hostoun clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.0% win probability, compared with 46.2% implied by the market. The 5.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sokol Hostoun has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SK Ujezd Praha 4 Sokol Hostoun

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 20.5 · On target 11.5

Recent attacking output favours Sokol Hostoun, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SK Ujezd Praha 4 Sokol Hostoun

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Sokol Hostoun has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SK Ujezd Praha 4 Sokol Hostoun

The combined recent performance profile favours Sokol Hostoun.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

SK Ujezd Praha 4 ↑ +0.42 (+16.0%)

Sokol Hostoun ↓ -0.18 (-8.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.