SK Petrin Plzen vs FC Milevsko

05 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

SK Petrin Plzen

FC Milevsko

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 73.5% DRAW 16.6% AWAY 9.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.7% 1.33 DRAW 18.6% 5.00 AWAY 11.8% 7.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SK Petrin Plzen relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 73.5% win probability, compared with 69.7% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SK Petrin Plzen has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SK Petrin Plzen FC Milevsko

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours SK Petrin Plzen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SK Petrin Plzen FC Milevsko

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3

SK Petrin Plzen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SK Petrin Plzen FC Milevsko

The combined recent performance profile favours SK Petrin Plzen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SK Petrin Plzen = (0.0%)

FC Milevsko ↑ +0.54 (+7.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.