CD Arabe Unido vs Herrera FC

26 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

CD Arabe Unido

Herrera FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.3% DRAW 17.4% AWAY 8.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.9% 1.30 DRAW 18.7% 5.00 AWAY 9.4% 9.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CD Arabe Unido has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Arabe Unido Herrera FC

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Arabe Unido, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Arabe Unido Herrera FC

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 7.5

CD Arabe Unido has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Arabe Unido Herrera FC

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Arabe Unido.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CD Arabe Unido ↓ -0.25 (-16.1%)

Herrera FC ↑ +4.65 (+87.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.