San Francisco FC vs CD Arabe Unido

19 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

San Francisco FC

CD Arabe Unido

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.4% DRAW 29.5% AWAY 43.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.1% 3.80 DRAW 28.9% 3.30 AWAY 46.0% 2.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

San Francisco FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Francisco FC CD Arabe Unido

Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours San Francisco FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Francisco FC CD Arabe Unido

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Francisco FC CD Arabe Unido

The combined recent performance profile favours San Francisco FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

San Francisco FC ↑ +1.40 (+58.3%)

CD Arabe Unido ↓ -1.01 (-32.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.