Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco FC

15 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Sporting San Miguelito

San Francisco FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 34.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.7% 2.65 DRAW 30.5% 3.10 AWAY 33.8% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

San Francisco FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting San Miguelito San Francisco FC

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours San Francisco FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting San Miguelito San Francisco FC

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

San Francisco FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting San Miguelito San Francisco FC

The combined recent performance profile favours San Francisco FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sporting San Miguelito = (0.0%)

San Francisco FC ↑ +0.02 (+0.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.