Herrera FC vs UMECIT

13 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Herrera FC

UMECIT

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.5% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 45.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.3% 3.70 DRAW 28.0% 3.35 AWAY 46.7% 2.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Herrera FC UMECIT

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Herrera FC UMECIT

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Herrera FC UMECIT

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Herrera FC ↑ +0.15 (+4.1%)

UMECIT ↓ -0.04 (-2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.