UMECIT vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera

08 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

UMECIT

CA Independiente de la Chorrera

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% DRAW 30.4% AWAY 32.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% 2.59 DRAW 30.2% 3.10 AWAY 33.6% 2.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

UMECIT CA Independiente de la Chorrera

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UMECIT CA Independiente de la Chorrera

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UMECIT CA Independiente de la Chorrera

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

UMECIT ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

CA Independiente de la Chorrera ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.