Alianza FC Panama vs San Francisco FC

07 Sep 2026 · 01:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Alianza FC Panama

San Francisco FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% DRAW 30.9% AWAY 36.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.9% 2.88 DRAW 30.6% 3.10 AWAY 36.5% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: San Francisco FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alianza FC Panama San Francisco FC

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alianza FC Panama San Francisco FC

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alianza FC Panama San Francisco FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Alianza FC Panama ↓ -0.03 (-1.0%)

San Francisco FC ↓ -0.31 (-11.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.