SPG Edelserpentin vs ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

SPG Edelserpentin

ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 41.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% 2.95 DRAW 26.6% 3.43 AWAY 42.5% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SPG Edelserpentin

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

SPG Edelserpentin ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 2.5 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours SPG Edelserpentin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SPG Edelserpentin ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.0

ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SPG Edelserpentin ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II

The combined recent performance profile favours SPG Edelserpentin.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

SPG Edelserpentin ↑ +0.35 (+13.5%)

ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II ↓ -0.15 (-6.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.