Azul Claro Numazu vs Criacao Shinjuku

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Azul Claro Numazu

Criacao Shinjuku

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 24.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% 2.00 DRAW 29.0% 3.16 AWAY 25.3% 3.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Criacao Shinjuku

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Azul Claro Numazu Criacao Shinjuku

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Azul Claro Numazu Criacao Shinjuku

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Azul Claro Numazu Criacao Shinjuku

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Azul Claro Numazu = (0.0%)

Criacao Shinjuku = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.