Briobecca Urayasu SC vs Verspah Oita

13 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Briobecca Urayasu SC

Verspah Oita

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 31.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% 2.63 DRAW 29.7% 3.24 AWAY 33.8% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Verspah Oita

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Briobecca Urayasu SC Verspah Oita

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Verspah Oita, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Briobecca Urayasu SC Verspah Oita

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Briobecca Urayasu SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Briobecca Urayasu SC Verspah Oita

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Briobecca Urayasu SC ↓ -0.22 (-7.7%)

Verspah Oita ↑ +0.54 (+23.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.