Criacao Shinjuku vs Maruyasu Okazaki

13 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Criacao Shinjuku

Maruyasu Okazaki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 35.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% 2.55 DRAW 29.5% 3.11 AWAY 34.5% 2.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Maruyasu Okazaki

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Criacao Shinjuku Maruyasu Okazaki

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Criacao Shinjuku Maruyasu Okazaki

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Maruyasu Okazaki has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Criacao Shinjuku Maruyasu Okazaki

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Criacao Shinjuku ↑ +0.05 (+2.0%)

Maruyasu Okazaki ↓ -0.09 (-3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.