Grulla Morioka FC vs Azul Claro Numazu

13 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Grulla Morioka FC

Azul Claro Numazu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.8% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 39.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.8% 2.80 DRAW 27.6% 3.43 AWAY 38.6% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Azul Claro Numazu has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Grulla Morioka FC Azul Claro Numazu

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Azul Claro Numazu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Grulla Morioka FC Azul Claro Numazu

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Grulla Morioka FC Azul Claro Numazu

The combined recent performance profile favours Azul Claro Numazu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Grulla Morioka FC ↓ -0.44 (-13.6%)

Azul Claro Numazu ↓ -0.10 (-3.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.