FC Tiamo Hirakata vs Vonds Ichihara

26 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

FC Tiamo Hirakata

Vonds Ichihara

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% 2.00 DRAW 24.3% 3.79 AWAY 29.7% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Tiamo Hirakata

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Tiamo Hirakata Vonds Ichihara

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Tiamo Hirakata, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Tiamo Hirakata Vonds Ichihara

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Vonds Ichihara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Tiamo Hirakata Vonds Ichihara

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Tiamo Hirakata ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Vonds Ichihara ↑ +0.15 (+5.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.