MFK Karvina B vs FK Hodonin

06 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

MFK Karvina B

FK Hodonin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 44.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% 3.02 DRAW 24.3% 3.80 AWAY 45.1% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: MFK Karvina B

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MFK Karvina B FK Hodonin

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours MFK Karvina B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MFK Karvina B FK Hodonin

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.3

FK Hodonin has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MFK Karvina B FK Hodonin

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

MFK Karvina B ↓ -0.23 (-7.1%)

FK Hodonin ↑ +0.22 (+11.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.