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Czechia 3. Liga · CZ

Slovacko II vs SK Unicov

25 Oct 2026 · 10:15
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for SK Unicov. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have maintained an unbeaten run. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.25 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.35. At this price, an away win for SK Unicov does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Slovacko II
STOCHASTICBET 30.4%
PINNACLE 32.4% odd 2.79
DIFFERENCE -2.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 27.1%
PINNACLE 27.3% odd 3.31
DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
SK Unicov
STOCHASTICBET 42.5%
PINNACLE 40.2% odd 2.25
DIFFERENCE +2.3 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 12:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

SK Unicov has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Slovacko II SK Unicov
Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours SK Unicov, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Slovacko II SK Unicov
Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0

SK Unicov has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Slovacko II SK Unicov

The combined recent performance profile favours SK Unicov.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-25 07:03:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — -4.40 pp
DRAW — +0.82 pp
AWAY — +3.57 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Czechia 3. Liga · 513 matches with scores · 461 with shots · coverage 89.9%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Slovacko II6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LWLLDW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
SK Unicov6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WWWWWD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Slovacko IIHome team
−1.98.3 actual
SK UnicovAway team
+0.611.0 actual
Slovacko II: 8.3 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matchesSK Unicov: 11.0 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Slovacko IIHome team
+0.610.8 actual
SK UnicovAway team
−2.77.3 actual
Slovacko II: 10.8 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matchesSK Unicov: 7.3 · league average 10.0 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Slovacko IIHome team
−0.54.2 actual
SK UnicovAway team
+0.65.3 actual
Slovacko II: 4.2 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matchesSK Unicov: 5.3 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Slovacko IIHome team
+0.35.0 actual
SK UnicovAway team
−0.44.2 actual
Slovacko II: 5.0 · league average 4.7 · 6 valid matchesSK Unicov: 4.2 · league average 4.6 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Slovacko IIHome team
0.001.67 actual
SK UnicovAway team
+1.122.83 actual
Slovacko II: 1.67 · league average 1.67 · 6 valid matchesSK Unicov: 2.83 · league average 1.71 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Slovacko IIHome team
+3.6 pp20.0% actual
SK UnicovAway team
+9.3 pp25.8% actual
Slovacko II: 20.0% · league average 16.4% · 6 valid matchesSK Unicov: 25.8% · league average 16.5% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Slovacko IIHome team
−4.1 pp12.3% actual
SK UnicovAway team
−0.4 pp15.9% actual
Slovacko II: 12.3% · league average 16.4% · 6 valid matchesSK Unicov: 15.9% · league average 16.3% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Slovacko II · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away1–27 / 164 / 8
11/10/2026Home5–213 / 138 / 7
03/10/2026Away0–19 / 82 / 3
25/09/2026Home0–10 / 10 / 1
18/09/2026Away1–19 / 114 / 6
13/09/2026Home3–112 / 167 / 5
SK Unicov · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home3–28 / 164 / 11
10/10/2026Away4–09 / 66 / 1
04/10/2026Home3–111 / 25 / 2
27/09/2026Away2–018 / 65 / 2
20/09/2026Home4–311 / 68 / 4
13/09/2026Home1–19 / 84 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.