Sparta Brno vs AFC Humpolec

05 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Sparta Brno

AFC Humpolec

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.6% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% 2.00 DRAW 24.5% 3.80 AWAY 29.0% 3.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sparta Brno

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sparta Brno AFC Humpolec

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sparta Brno AFC Humpolec

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sparta Brno AFC Humpolec

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sparta Brno ↑ +0.11 (+5.8%)

AFC Humpolec ↑ +0.08 (+2.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.