TJ Novy Jicin vs FK Bohumin

05 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.7 pp

TJ Novy Jicin

FK Bohumin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.4% DRAW 18.4% AWAY 69.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.5% 6.50 DRAW 20.1% 4.71 AWAY 65.4% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Bohumin relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.2% win probability, compared with 65.4% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Bohumin has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

TJ Novy Jicin FK Bohumin

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 19.3 · On target 10.0

Recent attacking output favours FK Bohumin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TJ Novy Jicin FK Bohumin

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.0

FK Bohumin has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TJ Novy Jicin FK Bohumin

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Bohumin.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

TJ Novy Jicin ↓ -1.50 (-18.8%)

FK Bohumin ↑ +0.19 (+15.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.