FC Vratimov vs Frydlant Nad Ostravici

05 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

FC Vratimov

Frydlant Nad Ostravici

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.5% DRAW 17.1% AWAY 8.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.4% 1.30 DRAW 18.7% 4.95 AWAY 9.9% 9.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Vratimov relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.5% win probability, compared with 71.4% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Vratimov has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Vratimov Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Vratimov, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Vratimov Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 8.5

FC Vratimov has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Vratimov Frydlant Nad Ostravici

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Vratimov.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Vratimov ↑ +0.08 (+6.4%)

Frydlant Nad Ostravici ↓ -1.30 (-12.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.