TJ Tatran Bohunice vs FC Kurim

12 Sep 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

TJ Tatran Bohunice

FC Kurim

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 24.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 1.93 DRAW 24.9% 3.80 AWAY 26.0% 3.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for TJ Tatran Bohunice relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.7% win probability, compared with 49.1% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

TJ Tatran Bohunice has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

TJ Tatran Bohunice FC Kurim

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TJ Tatran Bohunice FC Kurim

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.0

TJ Tatran Bohunice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TJ Tatran Bohunice FC Kurim

The combined recent performance profile favours TJ Tatran Bohunice.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

TJ Tatran Bohunice ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

FC Kurim ↑ +0.51 (+16.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.