Sparta Brno vs Sokol Tasovice

19 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.6 pp

Sparta Brno

Sokol Tasovice

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.2% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 39.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% 2.33 DRAW 24.5% 3.80 AWAY 35.5% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sokol Tasovice relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.0% win probability, compared with 35.5% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sokol Tasovice has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sparta Brno Sokol Tasovice

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Sokol Tasovice, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sparta Brno Sokol Tasovice

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Sokol Tasovice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sparta Brno Sokol Tasovice

The combined recent performance profile favours Sokol Tasovice.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sparta Brno = (0.0%)

Sokol Tasovice ↑ +0.13 (+5.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.