TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno

25 Sep 2026 · 16:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

TJ Tatran Bohunice

Sparta Brno

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.8% DRAW 15.8% AWAY 9.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.5% 1.29 DRAW 17.6% 5.25 AWAY 10.9% 8.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for TJ Tatran Bohunice relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.8% win probability, compared with 71.5% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

TJ Tatran Bohunice has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

TJ Tatran Bohunice Sparta Brno

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TJ Tatran Bohunice Sparta Brno

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.3

TJ Tatran Bohunice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TJ Tatran Bohunice Sparta Brno

The combined recent performance profile favours TJ Tatran Bohunice.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

TJ Tatran Bohunice ↓ -0.07 (-5.4%)

Sparta Brno ↑ +2.70 (+47.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.