Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

15 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Jahn Regensburg

Fortuna Dusseldorf

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 41.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% 2.97 DRAW 26.6% 3.62 AWAY 41.0% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Jahn Regensburg

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jahn Regensburg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jahn Regensburg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Fortuna Dusseldorf has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jahn Regensburg Fortuna Dusseldorf

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Jahn Regensburg ↑ +0.12 (+4.2%)

Fortuna Dusseldorf ↑ +0.10 (+4.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.