Kickers Emden vs SSV Jeddeloh

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Kickers Emden

SSV Jeddeloh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.1% DRAW 19.8% AWAY 30.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% 1.79 DRAW 20.8% 4.46 AWAY 27.5% 3.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SSV Jeddeloh relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.0% win probability, compared with 27.5% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kickers Emden

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kickers Emden SSV Jeddeloh

Shots 2.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 0.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Kickers Emden, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kickers Emden SSV Jeddeloh

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 1.0

SSV Jeddeloh has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kickers Emden SSV Jeddeloh

The combined recent performance profile favours SSV Jeddeloh.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Kickers Emden ↓ -1.26 (-41.2%)

SSV Jeddeloh ↑ +1.59 (+89.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.