Nantes vs Nancy

07 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Nantes

Nancy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 23.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.2% 1.93 DRAW 27.6% 3.50 AWAY 22.2% 4.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nantes

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nantes Nancy

Shots 13.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nantes Nancy

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Nancy has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nantes Nancy

The combined recent performance profile favours Nancy.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nantes ↓ -0.01 (-0.3%)

Nancy ↑ +0.26 (+6.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.