Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs HB Koge (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.7 pp

Fortuna Hjørring (W)

HB Koge (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 45.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.6% 4.00 DRAW 24.9% 3.80 AWAY 51.5% 1.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Fortuna Hjørring (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 29.3% win probability, compared with 23.6% implied by the market. The 5.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Fortuna Hjørring (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fortuna Hjørring (W) HB Koge (W)

Shots 17.5 · On target 9.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Fortuna Hjørring (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fortuna Hjørring (W) HB Koge (W)

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Fortuna Hjørring (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fortuna Hjørring (W) HB Koge (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Fortuna Hjørring (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fortuna Hjørring (W) = (0.0%)

HB Koge (W) ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.