FC Copenhagen (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

FC Copenhagen (W)

ASA Aarhus (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.9% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 25.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.4% 1.90 DRAW 24.1% 3.90 AWAY 26.5% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Copenhagen (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Copenhagen (W) ASA Aarhus (W)

Shots 12.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Copenhagen (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Copenhagen (W) ASA Aarhus (W)

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 9.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Copenhagen (W) ASA Aarhus (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Copenhagen (W) ↓ -0.14 (-6.9%)

ASA Aarhus (W) ↑ +0.61 (+20.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.