Dinamo Kirov vs Sokol Saratov

21 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Dinamo Kirov

Sokol Saratov

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.5% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 17.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% 1.61 DRAW 25.8% 3.50 AWAY 18.1% 4.98

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dinamo Kirov

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dinamo Kirov Sokol Saratov

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Kirov, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dinamo Kirov Sokol Saratov

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Dinamo Kirov has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dinamo Kirov Sokol Saratov

The combined recent performance profile favours Dinamo Kirov.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dinamo Kirov ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

Sokol Saratov ↓ -0.05 (-0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.