Amkar Perm vs Dinamo Moscow II

21 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Amkar Perm

Dinamo Moscow II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.3% DRAW 12.3% AWAY 11.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.3% 1.23 DRAW 14.1% 6.40 AWAY 12.6% 7.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Amkar Perm relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 76.3% win probability, compared with 73.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Amkar Perm has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Amkar Perm Dinamo Moscow II

Shots 11.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Amkar Perm, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Amkar Perm Dinamo Moscow II

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Amkar Perm has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Amkar Perm Dinamo Moscow II

The combined recent performance profile favours Amkar Perm.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Amkar Perm ↓ -0.01 (-0.8%)

Dinamo Moscow II ↑ +0.21 (+3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.