FK Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk vs Volgar G Astrakhan

21 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

FK Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk

Volgar G Astrakhan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 28.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% 1.96 DRAW 28.0% 3.22 AWAY 26.0% 3.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Volgar G Astrakhan has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk Volgar G Astrakhan

Shots 9.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Volgar G Astrakhan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk Volgar G Astrakhan

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Volgar G Astrakhan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk Volgar G Astrakhan

The combined recent performance profile favours Volgar G Astrakhan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk = (0.0%)

Volgar G Astrakhan ↓ -0.03 (-0.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.