Red Star Penzing vs Slovan HAC

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Red Star Penzing

Slovan HAC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.3% DRAW 18.7% AWAY 16.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.8% 1.45 DRAW 19.8% 4.66 AWAY 16.4% 5.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Red Star Penzing

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Red Star Penzing Slovan HAC

Shots 12.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Red Star Penzing Slovan HAC

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Red Star Penzing has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Red Star Penzing Slovan HAC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Red Star Penzing ↓ -0.12 (-7.7%)

Slovan HAC ↑ +1.44 (+34.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.