FC Novosibirsk vs Alania Vladikavkaz

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

FC Novosibirsk

Alania Vladikavkaz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.5% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 27.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% 1.92 DRAW 24.2% 3.75 AWAY 28.5% 3.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alania Vladikavkaz

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Novosibirsk Alania Vladikavkaz

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Novosibirsk Alania Vladikavkaz

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3

FC Novosibirsk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Novosibirsk Alania Vladikavkaz

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Novosibirsk ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Alania Vladikavkaz ↓ -0.02 (-0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.