Fiorentina U20 vs Atalanta U20

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Fiorentina U20

Atalanta U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.5% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 23.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.80 DRAW 26.6% 3.42 AWAY 22.8% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atalanta U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fiorentina U20 Atalanta U20

Shots 3.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Atalanta U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fiorentina U20 Atalanta U20

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Fiorentina U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fiorentina U20 Atalanta U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Fiorentina U20 ↓ -0.38 (-17.4%)

Atalanta U20 ↑ +1.33 (+49.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.