Zwickau vs VSG Altglienicke

15 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Zwickau

VSG Altglienicke

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 42.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.1% 3.26 DRAW 26.7% 3.44 AWAY 45.2% 2.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Zwickau relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.2% win probability, compared with 28.1% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: VSG Altglienicke

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zwickau VSG Altglienicke

Shots 0.5 · On target 0.5 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours VSG Altglienicke, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zwickau VSG Altglienicke

Shots allowed 0.5 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Zwickau has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zwickau VSG Altglienicke

The combined recent performance profile favours Zwickau.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Zwickau ↑ +0.30 (+10.1%)

VSG Altglienicke ↓ -0.16 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.