Nantes (W) vs FC Fleury 91 (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Nantes (W)

FC Fleury 91 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.8% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 47.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.9% 3.56 DRAW 25.8% 3.57 AWAY 48.3% 1.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nantes (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nantes (W) FC Fleury 91 (W)

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nantes (W) FC Fleury 91 (W)

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nantes (W) FC Fleury 91 (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Nantes (W) ↑ +0.52 (+17.1%)

FC Fleury 91 (W) ↓ -0.39 (-17.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.