Saint Malo (W) vs Montpellier (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Saint Malo (W)

Montpellier (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.0% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 49.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.7% 4.00 DRAW 26.9% 3.53 AWAY 49.3% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Montpellier (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Saint Malo (W) Montpellier (W)

Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Montpellier (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Saint Malo (W) Montpellier (W)

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Saint Malo (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Saint Malo (W) Montpellier (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Montpellier (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Saint Malo (W) ↑ +0.10 (+2.6%)

Montpellier (W) ↓ -0.01 (-0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.