Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Galatasaray

Kocaelispor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.0% DRAW 15.1% AWAY 8.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.7% 1.27 DRAW 16.0% 6.01 AWAY 8.3% 11.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Galatasaray

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Galatasaray Kocaelispor

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Galatasaray Kocaelispor

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Galatasaray Kocaelispor

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Galatasaray ↓ -0.03 (-2.1%)

Kocaelispor ↑ +0.78 (+7.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.