Türkiye 1 Lig · TR

Bandirmaspor vs Fatih Karagumruk

08 Nov 2026 · 11:30

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Bandirmaspor. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.33 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.35. At this price, a home win for Bandirmaspor does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Bandirmaspor

STOCHASTICBET 42.6%

PINNACLE 41.1% odd 2.33

DIFFERENCE +1.4 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 29.1%

PINNACLE 29.3% odd 3.27

DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp

AWAY

Fatih Karagumruk

STOCHASTICBET 28.3%

PINNACLE 29.6% odd 3.24

DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 00:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Bandirmaspor

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bandirmaspor Fatih Karagumruk

Shots 15.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Bandirmaspor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bandirmaspor Fatih Karagumruk

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bandirmaspor Fatih Karagumruk

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

Outcome	Pinnacle	Bet365
HOME	+0.00 pp	+0.00 pp
DRAW	+0.00 pp	+0.00 pp
AWAY	+0.00 pp	+0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

Outcome	Pinnacle	Bet365
HOME	+0.28 pp	+0.00 pp
DRAW	-0.28 pp	+0.00 pp
AWAY	-0.00 pp	+0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.