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Türkiye 1 Lig · TR

Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor

25 Oct 2026 · 11:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Esenler Erokspor. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume, although a greater share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.34 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.42. At this price, an away win for Esenler Erokspor does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Batman Petrolspor
STOCHASTICBET 31.7%
PINNACLE 32.2% odd 2.96
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 27.0%
PINNACLE 27.1% odd 3.51
DIFFERENCE -0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Esenler Erokspor
STOCHASTICBET 41.3%
PINNACLE 40.7% odd 2.34
DIFFERENCE +0.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 25 Oct 2026 · 11:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: Esenler Erokspor

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Batman Petrolspor Esenler Erokspor
Shots 8.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Batman Petrolspor Esenler Erokspor
Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Batman Petrolspor Esenler Erokspor

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Türkiye 1 Lig · 129 matches with scores · 117 with shots · coverage 90.7%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Batman Petrolspor6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DWLLLW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Esenler Erokspor6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WDWLDL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Batman PetrolsporHome team
−2.19.5 actual
Esenler EroksporAway team
−1.99.7 actual
Batman Petrolspor: 9.5 · league average 11.6 · 6 valid matchesEsenler Erokspor: 9.7 · league average 11.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Batman PetrolsporHome team
−0.710.8 actual
Esenler EroksporAway team
−0.710.8 actual
Batman Petrolspor: 10.8 · league average 11.6 · 6 valid matchesEsenler Erokspor: 10.8 · league average 11.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Batman PetrolsporHome team
+0.24.5 actual
Esenler EroksporAway team
−1.52.8 actual
Batman Petrolspor: 4.5 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matchesEsenler Erokspor: 2.8 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Batman PetrolsporHome team
+0.54.8 actual
Esenler EroksporAway team
+0.34.7 actual
Batman Petrolspor: 4.8 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matchesEsenler Erokspor: 4.7 · league average 4.3 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Batman PetrolsporHome team
+0.622.00 actual
Esenler EroksporAway team
−0.051.33 actual
Batman Petrolspor: 2.00 · league average 1.38 · 6 valid matchesEsenler Erokspor: 1.33 · league average 1.38 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Batman PetrolsporHome team
+9.0 pp21.1% actual
Esenler EroksporAway team
+1.7 pp13.8% actual
Batman Petrolspor: 21.1% · league average 12.1% · 6 valid matchesEsenler Erokspor: 13.8% · league average 12.1% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Batman PetrolsporHome team
+11.0 pp23.1% actual
Esenler EroksporAway team
+3.3 pp15.4% actual
Batman Petrolspor: 23.1% · league average 12.1% · 6 valid matchesEsenler Erokspor: 15.4% · league average 12.1% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Batman Petrolspor · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away2–25 / 153 / 9
14/10/2026Home4–214 / 1010 / 3
10/10/2026Away1–210 / 105 / 5
19/09/2026Home1–24 / 62 / 3
12/09/2026Away0–412 / 71 / 5
06/09/2026Home4–312 / 176 / 4
Esenler Erokspor · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
19/10/2026Home4–214 / 86 / 4
15/10/2026Away1–112 / 122 / 1
10/10/2026Away1–09 / 72 / 2
19/09/2026Home0–27 / 132 / 8
13/09/2026Away2–25 / 172 / 8
07/09/2026Home0–311 / 83 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.