Kayserispor vs Istanbulspor

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Kayserispor

Istanbulspor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.2% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 13.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.4% 1.46 DRAW 20.8% 4.59 AWAY 13.8% 6.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Kayserispor has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kayserispor Istanbulspor

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kayserispor Istanbulspor

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Kayserispor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kayserispor Istanbulspor

The combined recent performance profile favours Kayserispor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kayserispor ↑ +0.00 (+0.1%)

Istanbulspor ↑ +0.51 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.