Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Bursaspor

Esenler Erokspor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.2% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 20.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.9% 1.76 DRAW 23.6% 4.09 AWAY 21.5% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bursaspor

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bursaspor Esenler Erokspor

Shots 15.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Bursaspor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bursaspor Esenler Erokspor

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Bursaspor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bursaspor Esenler Erokspor

The combined recent performance profile favours Bursaspor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bursaspor ↑ +0.04 (+2.2%)

Esenler Erokspor ↑ +0.17 (+3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.