Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor

07 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Esenler Erokspor

Kayserispor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 34.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.5% 2.40 DRAW 27.2% 3.49 AWAY 33.4% 2.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kayserispor

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Esenler Erokspor Kayserispor

Shots 12.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 14.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Kayserispor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Esenler Erokspor Kayserispor

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Esenler Erokspor Kayserispor

The combined recent performance profile favours Kayserispor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Esenler Erokspor ↑ +0.05 (+2.1%)

Kayserispor ↑ +0.22 (+8.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.