Istanbulspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor

07 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Istanbulspor

76 Igdir Belediyespor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 47.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.7% 3.42 DRAW 27.6% 3.43 AWAY 44.7% 2.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

76 Igdir Belediyespor has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Istanbulspor 76 Igdir Belediyespor

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours 76 Igdir Belediyespor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Istanbulspor 76 Igdir Belediyespor

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3

76 Igdir Belediyespor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Istanbulspor 76 Igdir Belediyespor

The combined recent performance profile favours 76 Igdir Belediyespor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Istanbulspor ↑ +0.80 (+30.5%)

76 Igdir Belediyespor ↓ -0.24 (-10.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.