Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor

03 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

Bodrum FK

Esenler Erokspor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.7% DRAW 30.0% AWAY 35.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.3% 2.49 DRAW 29.8% 3.20 AWAY 31.9% 2.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Esenler Erokspor relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.3% win probability, compared with 31.9% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Esenler Erokspor has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bodrum FK Esenler Erokspor

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Esenler Erokspor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bodrum FK Esenler Erokspor

Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Esenler Erokspor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bodrum FK Esenler Erokspor

The combined recent performance profile favours Esenler Erokspor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bodrum FK ↑ +0.11 (+4.6%)

Esenler Erokspor ↑ +0.42 (+16.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.