Bursaspor vs Istanbulspor

03 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Bursaspor

Istanbulspor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.3% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 14.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.9% 1.44 DRAW 19.9% 4.76 AWAY 14.2% 6.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Istanbulspor

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bursaspor Istanbulspor

Shots 14.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bursaspor Istanbulspor

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Bursaspor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bursaspor Istanbulspor

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bursaspor ↑ +0.06 (+4.6%)

Istanbulspor ↓ -0.15 (-2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.