Scunthorpe vs Boreham Wood

16 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Scunthorpe

Boreham Wood

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.0% DRAW 21.0% AWAY 58.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.1% 4.50 DRAW 21.8% 4.35 AWAY 57.0% 1.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Boreham Wood has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Scunthorpe Boreham Wood

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Scunthorpe Boreham Wood

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Boreham Wood has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Scunthorpe Boreham Wood

The combined recent performance profile favours Boreham Wood.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Scunthorpe ↑ +0.51 (+12.8%)

Boreham Wood ↓ -0.08 (-4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.